SMU 
W-L: ( 8- 4) PR = 83.6788
Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score
830 H East Tex A&M 42-13
906 H Baylor B12 ( 4- 8, 73.4) 45-48
913 A Missouri St ( 7- 6, 70.3) 28-10
920 A TCU B12 ( 9- 4, 84.0) 24-35
1004 H Syracuse ACC ( 3- 9, 68.6) 31-18
1011 H Stanford ACC ( 4- 8, 74.3) 34-10
1018 A Clemson ACC ( 7- 6, 79.3) 35-24
1025 A Wake Forest ACC ( 9- 4, 79.2) 12-13
1101 H Miami ACC (12- 3, 92.2) 26-20
1108 A Boston Col ` ACC ( 3- 9, 69.1) 45-13
1122 H Louisville ACC ( 8- 6, 81.6) 38- 6
1129 A California ACC ( 7- 6, 74.6) 35-38
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
906 H Baylor 45-48 -3 16 --- -17.00
913 A Missouri St 28-10 18 8 ++ 5.92
920 A TCU 24-35 -11 -6 -- -5.45
1004 H Syracuse 31-18 13 20 -1.00
1011 H Stanford 34-10 24 15 0.00
1018 A Clemson 35-24 11 -1 +++ 11.89
1025 A Wake Forest 12-13 -1 -1 -0.25
1101 H Miami 26-20 6 -3 +++ 9.25
1108 A Boston Col ` 45-13 32 9 ++ 4.72
1122 H Louisville 38- 6 32 7 +++ 6.62
1129 A California 35-38 -3 4 --- -6.79
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
906 H Baylor 45-48 -3 16 --- -17.00
1129 A California 35-38 -3 4 --- -6.79
920 A TCU 24-35 -11 -6 -- -5.45
|
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
1018 A Clemson 35-24 11 -1 +++ 11.89
1101 H Miami 26-20 6 -3 +++ 9.25
1122 H Louisville 38- 6 32 7 +++ 6.62
913 A Missouri St 28-10 18 8 ++ 5.92
1108 A Boston Col ` 45-13 32 9 ++ 4.72
|

division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 12.75
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
0 H Baylor ( 4- 8, 73.4) 45-48 -26.55 24.67 -5.26 1.16 -18.43
0 A Missouri St ( 7- 6, 70.3) 28-10 -29.57 21.65 5.26 1.16 62.39
0 A TCU ( 9- 4, 84.0) 24-35 -15.93 35.29 5.26 1.16 -6.18
0 H Syracuse ( 3- 9, 68.6) 31-18 -31.29 19.93 -5.26 1.16 34.01
0 H Stanford ( 4- 8, 74.3) 34-10 -25.61 25.61 -5.26 1.16 47.18
0 A Clemson ( 7- 6, 79.3) 35-24 -20.59 30.63 5.26 1.16 83.19
0 A Wake Forest ( 9- 4, 79.2) 12-13 -20.73 30.49 5.26 1.16 -8.96
0 H Miami (12- 3, 92.2) 26-20 -7.71 43.51 -5.26 1.16 88.68
0 A Boston Col ` ( 3- 9, 69.1) 45-13 -30.76 20.46 5.26 1.16 59.61
0 H Louisville ( 8- 6, 81.6) 38- 6 -18.34 32.88 -5.26 1.16 64.03
0 A California ( 7- 6, 74.6) 35-38 -25.27 25.95 5.26 1.16 -11.60
------
393.90
|
winning pts = 439.0818 losing points = -45.1778
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction. ------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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